
NBA · 2026-27
Boston Celtics
9-2 · #4 of 30 by Elo
Elo rating
1650
#4 of 30 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1687
#3 of 30 by recent lines
This season
+62
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
91%
10–1 this season
Offense
+0.4 pts
#16 of 30 · scored a game above average
Defense
+5.5 pts
#2 of 30 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.
- Points scored
- 115.7
- 11th of 30
- Points allowed
- 104.0
- 2nd fewest of 30
- Margin
- +11.7
- 1st of 30
- Offense rating
- 117.5
- 3rd of 30
- Defense rating
- 105.5
- 6th of 30
- Pace
- 97.7
- 29th of 30
- Last 10
- 9–1
- 1st of 27
- At home
- 5–0
- 1st of 30
- On the road
- 4–2
- 7th of 30
- Opponent Elo
- 1468
- 26th toughest of 30
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
61-21
Now 9-2 · middle 80%: 55–66 wins
Make the playoffs
>99%
Play-in: <1%
About 50 wins usually gets them in
Reach the NBA Finals
48%
Win it all
26%
In 2,553 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 100%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1472 Elo, the 10th-easiest stretch of the league's 30.
Celtics
9-2
Raptors
5-5
Mavericks
7-4
Celtics
9-2
Magic
3-7
Celtics
9-2
Celtics
9-2
Nuggets
5-4
Celtics
9-2
Kings
1-10
Celtics
9-2
Warriors
8-3
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 5–5
- Last 10
- 5–5
- As the favorite
- 5–4
- As the underdog
- 0–1
- Overs–unders
- 5–5
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 5–5
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: W W W W W L W W W W
- W
@ PHI 123–101Picked BOS 53%Nov 10Hit - W
@ MIL 117–97Picked BOS 86%Nov 8Hit - W
@ CHA 119–80Picked BOS 74%Nov 6Hit - W
vs MIL 109–102Picked BOS 82%Nov 4Hit - L
@ HOU 93–109Picked HOU 62%Nov 2Hit - W
@ ORL 108–97Picked BOS 65%Nov 1Hit - W
vs CHI 125–111Picked BOS 86%Oct 30Hit - W
vs BKN 125–124Picked BOS 82%Oct 27Hit - W
vs CHI 134–99Picked BOS 85%Oct 26Hit - W
vs NY 107–103Picked BOS 56%Oct 23Hit
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Nothing on the injury report.