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NBA power rankings

Elo rating

1650

#4 of 30 · 1500 is average

Market rating

1687

#3 of 30 by recent lines

This season

+62

Elo change since opening night

Forecasts on their games

91%

10–1 this season

Offense

+0.4 pts

#16 of 30 · scored a game above average

Defense

+5.5 pts

#2 of 30 · allowed a game below average

By the numbers

This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.

Points scored
115.7
11th of 30
Points allowed
104.0
2nd fewest of 30
Margin
+11.7
1st of 30
Offense rating
117.5
3rd of 30
Defense rating
105.5
6th of 30
Pace
97.7
29th of 30
Last 10
9–1
1st of 27
At home
5–0
1st of 30
On the road
4–2
7th of 30
Opponent Elo
1468
26th toughest of 30

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works

Projected record

61-21

Now 9-2 · middle 80%: 55–66 wins

Make the playoffs

>99%

Play-in: <1%
About 50 wins usually gets them in

Reach the NBA Finals

48%

Win it all

26%

In 2,553 of 10,000 simulations

Playoff chances this season

Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 100%.

0%50%100%Nov 3Nov 11

Upcoming

Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1472 Elo, the 10th-easiest stretch of the league's 30.

Players

Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.

Rating history

Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.

Celtics
15501600165017001750NovJanMarMayJulSepNov

Against the line

This season, against each game's closing spread and total.

Against the spread
5–5
Last 10
5–5
As the favorite
5–4
As the underdog
0–1
Overs–unders
5–5
Overs–unders, last 10
5–5

Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.