NBA · 2026-27
Houston Rockets
8-3 · #8 of 30 by Elo
Elo rating
1604
#8 of 30 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1630
#5 of 30 by recent lines
This season
+48
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
64%
7–4 this season
Offense
0.0 pts
#17 of 30 · scored a game above average
Defense
+4.6 pts
#6 of 30 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.
- Points scored
- 115.5
- 13th of 30
- Points allowed
- 106.4
- 5th fewest of 30
- Margin
- +9.1
- 5th of 30
- Offense rating
- 116.6
- 5th of 30
- Defense rating
- 107.4
- 7th of 30
- Pace
- 99.0
- 26th of 30
- Last 10
- 7–3
- 6th of 27
- At home
- 5–1
- 4th of 30
- On the road
- 3–2
- 10th of 30
- Opponent Elo
- 1546
- 2nd toughest of 30
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
55-27
Now 8-3 · middle 80%: 50–61 wins
Make the playoffs
>99%
Play-in: 3%
About 44 wins usually gets them in
Reach the NBA Finals
10%
Win it all
5%
In 456 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 100%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1405 Elo, the 2nd-easiest stretch of the league's 30.
Warriors
8-3
Rockets
8-3
Jazz
1-10
Rockets
8-3
Rockets
8-3
Wizards
4-7
Rockets
8-3
Heat
5-6
Rockets
8-3
Pacers
3-8
Rockets
8-3
Nuggets
5-4
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 8–2
- Last 10
- 8–2
- As the favorite
- 7–2
- As the underdog
- 1–0
- Overs–unders
- 6–4
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 6–4
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: W W W W L W W L L W
- W
vs DEN 110–100Picked HOU 74%Nov 9Hit - L
@ PHX 99–102Picked HOU 66%Nov 7Miss - L
vs MIN 107–117Picked HOU 73%Nov 4Miss - W
vs BOS 109–93Picked HOU 62%Nov 2Hit - W
vs OKC 119–98Picked HOU 56%Oct 31Hit - L
@ DAL 111–116Picked HOU 68%Oct 30Miss - W
@ MIL 132–100Picked HOU 74%Oct 28Hit - W
vs ATL 120–110Picked HOU 63%Oct 26Hit - W@ ATL 121–114Picked HOU 50%Oct 24Hit
- W
@ SA 114–110Picked SA 62%Oct 23Miss
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Steven Adams C
−1 EloOut17 min a game when healthy · 20.9 Game Score per 48
Head coach Ime Udoka said Monday that Adams could return as soon as Sunday's game at Washington, Lachard Binkley of SI.com reports.
Clint Capela C
OutHead coach Ime Udoka stated Monday that Capela (ankle) could be cleared to return either Nov. 15 in Washington or Nov. 16 in Miami, Lachard Binkley of SI.com reports.