NHL · 2026-27
Ottawa Senators
11-6-2 · #12 of 32 by Elo
Elo rating
1525
#12 of 32 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1524
#9 of 32 by recent lines
This season
+4
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
63%
12–7 this season
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Overtime and shootout losses count as losses in these records.
- Goals scored
- 3.2
- 16th of 32
- Goals allowed
- 3.0
- 11th fewest of 32
- Margin
- +0.2
- 15th of 32
- Shot share
- 48.9%
- 19th of 32
- Save percentage
- 89.9%
- 10th of 32
- Last 10
- 5–5
- 14th of 32
- At home
- 6–3
- 8th of 32
- On the road
- 5–5
- 11th of 32
- Opponent Elo
- 1491
- 26th toughest of 32
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
45-30-9
Now 11-6-2 · middle 80%: 39–51 wins
Make the playoffs
70%
Division: 13%
About 95 points usually gets them in
Reach the Stanley Cup Final
8%
Win it all
4%
In 432 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 70%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1496 Elo, the 12th-easiest stretch of the league's 32.
Avalanche
11-6-2
Senators
11-6-2
Senators
11-6-2
Penguins
6-10-2
Senators
11-6-2
Jets
8-8-3
Flyers
5-10-5
Senators
11-6-2
Kings
5-9-2
Senators
11-6-2
Flames
8-9-1
Senators
11-6-2
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
- Tim Stutzle
- Jordan Spence
- Shane Pinto
- Thomas Chabot
- Tyler Kleven
- Drake Batherson
- Dylan Cozens
- Claude Giroux
- Michael Amadio
- Fabian Zetterlund
- Nikolas Matinpalo
- Ridly Greig
- Carter Yakemchuk
- Jake Sanderson
- Artem Zub
- Stephen Halliday
- Nick Cousins
- Samuel Ersson
- Linus Ullmark
- Warren Foegele
- Andre Burakovsky
- Jonas Johansson
- Philip Tomasino
- William Eklund
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Puck line
- 6–11
- Last 10
- 3–7
- As the favorite
- 3–8
- As the underdog
- 3–3
- Overs–unders
- 6–11
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 4–6
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: W L W L L W L W W L
- L
vs WSH 2–3Picked OTT 54%Nov 10Miss - W
vs UTA 4–2Picked OTT 51%Nov 7Hit - W
@ BUF 2–1Picked BUF 54%Nov 4Miss - L
@ ANA 3–6Picked OTT 52%Nov 1Miss - W
@ SJ 5–1Picked OTT 58%Oct 31Hit - L
@ LA 5–6Picked LA 50%Oct 29Hit - L
@ VGK 1–4Picked VGK 58%Oct 27Hit - W
vs NYR 7–4Picked OTT 53%Oct 24Hit - Lvs SJ 2–6Picked OTT 55%Oct 22Miss
- W
vs FLA 5–1Picked OTT 58%Oct 21Hit
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Nick Cousins C
Day-To-Dayday-to-day
Linus Ullmark G
Outout
Andre Burakovsky LW
Injured Reserveir
Warren Foegele LW
Injured ReserveFoegele (knee) will miss 3-4 weeks, Jackson Starr of the Senators' official site reports Saturday.
William Eklund LW
Injured ReserveEklund had surgery to repair a torn ankle tendon and will be out 10-12 weeks, Bruce Garrioch of Postmedia reports Thursday.