NFL · 2026
Green Bay Packers
6-3 · #10 of 32 by Elo
Elo rating
1575
#10 of 32 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1508
#16 of 32 by recent lines
This season
+55
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
67%
6–3 this season
Offense
+1.0 pts
#12 of 32 · scored a game above average
Defense
+1.1 pts
#8 of 32 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.
- Points scored
- 24.0
- 12th of 32
- Points allowed
- 21.2
- 11th fewest of 32
- Margin
- +2.8
- 12th of 32
- Yards per play
- 5.59
- 10th of 32
- Yards allowed per play
- 4.88
- 5th of 32
- At home
- 3–1
- 9th of 32
- On the road
- 3–2
- 10th of 32
- Opponent Elo
- 1501
- 15th toughest of 32
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
10-7
Now 6-3 · middle 80%: 8–12 wins
Make the playoffs
49%
Division: 6% · Top seed: 2%
About 11 wins usually gets them in
Reach the Super Bowl
5%
Win it all
2%
In 187 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 49%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 2 opponents average 1606 Elo, the toughest stretch of the league's 32.
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 5–3–1
- Last 10
- 5–3–1
- As the favorite
- 3–2
- As the underdog
- 2–1–1
- Overs–unders
- 3–6
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 3–6
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: L L W L W W W L W W
- W
@ NE 45–27Picked NE 63%Nov 8Miss - W
vs CAR 27–19Picked GB 63%Oct 29Hit - L
@ DET 17–20Picked DET 61%Oct 25Hit - W
vs DAL 23–13Picked GB 52%Oct 18Hit - W
vs CHI 31–7Picked CHI 54%Oct 11Miss - W
@ TB 17–14Picked GB 59%Oct 4Hit - L
vs ATL 14–35Picked GB 68%Sep 24Miss - W
@ NYJ 20–17Picked GB 62%Sep 20Hit - L
@ MIN 22–39Picked MIN 57%Sep 13Hit - L@ CHI 27–31Picked GB 54%Jan 10Miss
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Jonnu Smith TE
ActiveSmith didn't log a target or touch in a 45-27 win over the Patriots on Sunday.
Pierre Strong Jr. RB
ActiveStrong rushed eight times for 22 yards in Sunday's 45-27 win over the Patriots. He added two catches for 11 yards on two targets.
Kaleb Johnson RB
ActiveJohnson could serve as the Packers' lead option on the ground in Sunday's game against the Vikings with Josh Jacobs (finger) expected to miss multiple weeks and with the status of MarShawn Lloyd (knee) uncertain, Matt Schneidman of The Athletic reports.
Josh Whyle TE
Questionablequestionable
Sean Rhyan G
Questionablequestionable
MarShawn Lloyd RB
Questionablequestionable
Zaire Franklin LB
Doubtfuldoubtful
Travis Glover OT
Questionablequestionable
Josh Jacobs RB
Outout
Chris Brooks RB
Injured ReserveAs Week 10 approaches, Rob Demovsky of ESPN.com indicates that Brooks (ankle) may be ready to return from IR.
Donovan Jennings G
ActiveTrey Smack PK
ActiveSmack went 3-for-3 on field-goal attempts and made all four of his PATs during Sunday's 45-27 win against the Patriots.
Tucker Kraft TE
ActiveKraft brought in one of three targets for one yard and rushed twice for eight yards in the Packers' 45-27 win over the Patriots on Sunday.
Matthew Golden WR
ActiveGolden brought in all 10 targets for 164 yards and a touchdown in the Packers' 45-27 win over the Patriots on Sunday.
Christian Watson WR
ActiveWatson secured seven of eight targets for 171 yards and a touchdown in the Packers' 45-27 win over the Patriots on Sunday.
Jordan Love QB
ActiveLove completed 23 of 29 passes for 372 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions and rushed once for a 13-yard score in the Packers' 45-27 win over the Patriots on Sunday. He also ran in a two-point conversion.
Savion Williams WR
ActiveWilliams caught three of four targets for 25 yards and a touchdown while adding three rushes for 13 yards during Sunday's 45-27 win over the Patriots.
Bo Melton WR
QuestionableMelton exited Sunday's game against the Patriots and is being evaluated for a concussion.
Ty'Ron Hopper LB
QuestionableHopper (chest) has been ruled out for the remainder of Sunday's game against the Patriots.
Keisean Nixon CB
ActiveNixon (groin) is active for Sunday's game against the Patriots, Mike Spofford of the Packers' official site reports.