NFL · 2026

Dallas Cowboys

4-5 · #22 of 32 by Elo

Next gamevs

SF· Sun, Nov 15 · 4:25 PM ETPlayoffs: 30% with a win, 14% with a loss35%to win

Matchup What if they win out?

Elo rating

1415

#22 of 32 · 1500 is average

Market rating

1528

#14 of 32 by recent lines

This season

−13

Elo change since opening night

Forecasts on their games

56%

5–4 this season

Offense

+2.3 pts

#5 of 32 · scored a game above average

Defense

−2.9 pts

#32 of 32 · allowed a game below average

By the numbers

This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Home and road leave out their neutral-site game.

Points scored: 27.3; 6th of 32
Points allowed: 26.2; 25th fewest of 32
Margin: +1.1; 17th of 32
Yards per play: 5.56; 11th of 32
Yards allowed per play: 5.79; 29th of 32
At home: 1–2; 18th of 32
On the road: 3–2; 10th of 32
Opponent Elo: 1460; 30th toughest of 32

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works

Projected record

8-9

Now 4-5 · middle 80%: 6–9 wins

Make the playoffs

19%

Division: 17% · Top seed: <1%
About 10 wins usually gets them in

Reach the Super Bowl

Win it all

<1%

In 15 of 10,000 simulations

Playoff chances this season

Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 19%.

Upcoming

Forecasts for their next games. Their next 3 opponents average 1439 Elo, the 5th-easiest stretch of the league's 32.

Sun, Nov 15 · 4:25 PM ETFox

49ers

7-1

65%

Cowboys

4-5

35%

Pick SFSolidLine SF -3.5

Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ETFox

Titans

1-7

22%

Cowboys

4-5

78%

Pick DALStrongLine DAL -7.5

Thu, Nov 26 · 4:30 PM ETFox

Eagles

2-7

23%

Cowboys

4-5

77%

Pick DALStrongPre-line forecast

Players

Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.

Rating history

Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.

Cowboys

Against the line

This season, against each game's closing spread and total.

Against the spread: 3–5–1
Last 10: 3–5–1
As the favorite: 2–4
As the underdog: 1–1–1
Overs–unders: 6–3
Overs–unders, last 10: 6–3

Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.

Recent results

Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.

Injury report

Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.

DeMarvion Overshown LB
Questionable
questionable
George Pickens WR
Questionable
questionable
Joey Porter Jr. CB
Questionable
questionable
Luke Schoonmaker TE
Questionable
questionable
KaVontae Turpin WR
Questionable
questionable
Tyler Goodson RB
Out
Goodson sustained ACL and MCL sprains in his knee during Sunday's 27-23 win over the Colts, a source tells Todd Archer of ESPN.com.
Ryan Flournoy WR
Active
Flournoy caught two of three targets for 53 yards during Sunday's 27-23 win over the Colts.
Jake Ferguson TE
Out
out
Donovan Ezeiruaku LB
Questionable
Ezeiruaku (ankle) is considered day-to-day, Nick Harris of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram reports.
P.J. Locke S
Out
out
Brevyn Spann-Ford TE
Active
Spann-Ford caught two of three targets for 20 yards during Sunday's 27-23 win versus the Colts.
Ajani Cornelius OT
Active
Tyrus Wheat LB
Active
Brandon Aubrey PK
Active
Aubrey went 2-for-3 on field-goal attempts and made all three of his PATs during Sunday's 27-23 win over the Colts.
Dak Prescott QB
Active
Prescott completed 21 of 34 passes for 335 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions while rushing twice for one yard in the Cowboys' 27-23 win over the Colts on Sunday. He also lost a fumble.
Javonte Williams RB
Active
Williams rushed 20 times for 101 yards and a touchdown and brought in four of five targets for 23 yards in the Cowboys' 27-23 win over the Colts on Sunday.
CeeDee Lamb WR
Active
Lamb brought in 10 of 16 targets for 195 yards and a touchdown in the Cowboys' 27-23 win over the Colts on Sunday. He also lost a fumble.
Dee Winters LB
Active
Winters (head) has returned to Sunday's Week 9 matchup against the Colts, Patrik Walker of the Cowboys' official site reports.
Jonathan Mingo WR
Questionable
Mingo (ankle) is questionable to return to Sunday's matchup against the Colts, Patrik Walker of the Cowboys' official site reports.
Marist Liufau LB
Active
Liufau (forearm) is active for Sunday's game against the Colts.