NFL · 2026
San Francisco 49ers
7-1 · #6 of 32 by Elo
Elo rating
1634
#6 of 32 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1578
#10 of 32 by recent lines
This season
+78
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
63%
5–3 this season
Offense
+2.3 pts
#7 of 32 · scored a game above average
Defense
+0.2 pts
#15 of 32 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Home and road leave out their neutral-site game.
- Points scored
- 29.4
- 3rd of 32
- Points allowed
- 19.5
- 6th fewest of 32
- Margin
- +9.9
- 2nd of 32
- Yards per play
- 6.31
- 1st of 32
- Yards allowed per play
- 4.78
- 3rd of 32
- At home
- 5–0
- 1st of 32
- On the road
- 1–1
- 14th of 32
- Opponent Elo
- 1483
- 22nd toughest of 32
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
13-4
Now 7-1 · middle 80%: 11–15 wins
Make the playoffs
97%
Division: 84% · Top seed: 46%
About 10 wins usually gets them in
Reach the Super Bowl
23%
Win it all
11%
In 1,139 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 97%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 3 opponents average 1559 Elo, the 6th-toughest stretch of the league's 32.
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 5–3
- Last 10
- 5–3
- As the favorite
- 3–3
- As the underdog
- 2–0
- Overs–unders
- 4–4
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 4–4
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: W L W W W W W W L W
- W
vs LV 38–17Picked SF 77%Nov 8Hit - L
@ ATL 20–29Picked SF 59%Oct 25Miss - W
vs WSH 23–17Picked SF 78%Oct 19Hit - W
@ SEA 32–29Picked SEA 60%Oct 11Miss - W
vs DEN 24–14Picked SF 60%Oct 4Hit - W
vs ARI 36–30Picked SF 77%Sep 27Hit - W
vs MIA 35–13Picked SF 86%Sep 20Hit - W
@ LAR 27–7Picked LAR 65%Sep 10Miss - L@ SEA 6–41Picked SEA 74%Jan 17Hit
- W
@ PHI 23–19Picked PHI 67%Jan 11Miss
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Gracen Halton DT
Injured Reserveir
Brandin Cooks WR
ActiveCooks brought in both of his targets for 25 yards during Sunday's 38-17 win over the Raiders.
Demarcus Robinson WR
ActiveRobinson caught three passes for 22 yards on four targets in Sunday's 38-17 win over the Raiders.
Mac Jones QB
ActiveThe 49ers fielded trade inquiries in Jones from the Vikings leading up to Tuesday's deadline, but the quarterback is expected to remain in San Francisco, Dianna Russini of BetUS TV reports.
Mike Evans WR
Questionablequestionable
Deebo Samuel Sr. WR
Questionablequestionable
Jordan James RB
ActiveJames rushed three times for 11 yards and returned two kickoffs for 31 yards Sunday in a 38-17 victory versus Las Vegas.
Eddy Pineiro PK
ActivePineiro made his lone field-goal attempt and all five of his extra-point tries during San Francisco's win over the Raiders on Sunday.
C.J. West DT
Injured ReserveThe 49ers plan to open West's (undisclosed) practice window Wednesday, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reports.
Deommodore Lenoir CB
QuestionableCoach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Lenoir (foot) is considered day-to-day ahead of Sunday's game at Dallas, Matt Barrows of The Athletic reports.
Renardo Green CB
QuestionableCoach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Green (back) is considered day-to-day ahead of Sunday's game at Dallas, Matt Barrows of The Athletic reports.
Brandon Aiyuk WR
OutThe 49ers reinstated Aiyuk (personal) from the reserve/left squad list Monday and were granted a two-week roster exemption for the wide receiver, Tom Pelissero of Netflix reports.
Khalid Kareem DE
ActiveTatum Bethune LB
ActiveEnrique Cruz Jr. OT
ActiveKurtis Rourke QB
ActiveKaelon Black RB
ActiveBlack rushed 11 times for 70 yards but wasn't targeted in Sunday's 38-17 win over the Raiders.
Jordan Watkins WR
ActiveWatkins caught all four of his targets for 86 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 38-17 win over the Raiders.
George Kittle TE
ActiveKittle caught four of seven targets for 58 yards in Sunday's 38-17 win over the Raiders.
Brock Purdy QB
ActivePurdy completed 17 of 25 passes for 232 yards, two touchdowns and one interception in Sunday's 38-17 win over the Raiders. He added seven rushing attempts for 40 yards and a touchdown.