NFL · 2026

Las Vegas Raiders

4-5 · #27 of 32 by Elo

Next gamevs

SEA· Sun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM ETPlayoffs: 9% with a win, 2% with a loss28%to win

Matchup What if they win out?

Elo rating

1374

#27 of 32 · 1500 is average

Market rating

1397

#26 of 32 by recent lines

This season

+68

Elo change since opening night

Forecasts on their games

67%

6–3 this season

Offense

−1.4 pts

#26 of 32 · scored a game above average

Defense

−2.7 pts

#31 of 32 · allowed a game below average

By the numbers

This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.

Points scored: 26.4; 8th of 32
Points allowed: 29.8; 32nd fewest of 32
Margin: −3.3; 20th of 32
Yards per play: 5.35; 16th of 32
Yards allowed per play: 6.09; 31st of 32
At home: 1–3; 19th of 32
On the road: 3–2; 10th of 32
Opponent Elo: 1503; 14th toughest of 32

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works

Projected record

7-10

Now 4-5 · middle 80%: 5–8 wins

Make the playoffs

Division: <1% · Top seed: <1%
About 10 wins usually gets them in

Reach the Super Bowl

<1%

Win it all

<1%

In 0 of 10,000 simulations

Playoff chances this season

Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 3%.

Upcoming

Forecasts for their next games. Their next 3 opponents average 1580 Elo, the 3rd-toughest stretch of the league's 32.

Sun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM ETCBS

Seahawks

5-4

72%

Raiders

4-5

28%

Pick SEAStrongLine SEA -6.5

Sun, Nov 22 · 4:25 PM ETCBS

Raiders

4-5

20%

Broncos

7-2

80%

Pick DENStrongLine DEN -8.5

Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ETFox

Raiders

4-5

24%

Browns

5-4

76%

Pick CLEStrongPre-line forecast

Players

Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.

Rating history

Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.

Raiders

Against the line

This season, against each game's closing spread and total.

Against the spread: 6–3
Last 10: 6–3
As the favorite: 1–0
As the underdog: 5–3
Overs–unders: 7–2
Overs–unders, last 10: 7–2

Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.

Recent results

Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.

Injury report

Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.

Jack Bech WR
Active
Bech caught one of two targets for nine yards Sunday in a loss to the 49ers.
Fernando Mendoza QB
Active
Mendoza will take over as the Raiders' new starting quarterback beginning with Sunday's game versus the Seahawks after Las Vegas traded Kirk Cousins to Minnesota on Tuesday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
Thomas Booker IV DT
Questionable
questionable
Matt Gay PK
Active
Gay converted his only field-goal attempt and both of his extra-point tries during Las Vegas' loss to the 49ers on Sunday.
Aidan O'Connell QB
Active
Bryce Cabeldue G
Active
Malik Benson WR
Active
Dalton Johnson S
Active
Dont'e Thornton Jr. WR
Active
Jalen Nailor WR
Active
Nailor caught two of four targets for nine yards during Sunday's 38-17 loss to the 49ers.
Michael Mayer TE
Active
Mayer caught all three of his targets for 37 yards in Sunday's 38-17 loss to the 49ers.
Mike Washington Jr. RB
Active
Washington turned six carries into minus-three yards in Sunday's 38-17 loss to the 49ers.
Tre Tucker WR
Active
Tucker caught four of eight targets for 55 yards during Sunday's 38-17 loss to the 49ers.
Ashton Jeanty RB
Active
Jeanty rushed six times for 25 yards while catching five of seven targets for minus-5 yards in Sunday's 38-17 loss to the 49ers.
Brock Bowers TE
Active
Bowers caught seven of eight targets for 111 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 38-17 loss to the 49ers. He also rushed once for two yards and lost a fumble.
Trey Zuhn III C
Questionable
Zuhn (concussion) has been ruled out for the remainder of Las Vegas' matchup versus the 49ers on Sunday.
Darien Porter CB
Active
Porter (groin) is active for Sunday's Week 9 battle against the 49ers.
Nakobe Dean LB
Active
Dean recorded 12 total tackles (two solo) during Sunday's 38-33 victory against the Jets.
Jeremy Chinn S
Active
Chinn recorded 10 total tackles (four solo) and an interception during Sunday's 38-33 win over the Jets.
Cody White WR
Active
White was signed by the Raiders on Thursday, Ryan McFadden of ESPN.com reports.