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NFL · New York Jets

Geno Smith

QB · 31 attempts

ActiveSmith completed 18 of 32 passes for 165 yards, no touchdowns and no interceptions in Sunday's 35-12 loss to the Chiefs. He also rushed once for eight yards.

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Next: BUF @ NYJ

. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.

StatProjLineL10OverParlay
Pass yds236.1220.55/10 games over this line50%*
Completions20.121.53/10 games over this line49%*
Pass att30.932.52/10 games over this line49%*
Pass TDs1.51.53/10 games over this line49%*
Interceptions0.60.54/10 games over this line49%*
Pass+Rush yds244.3———No line
Rush yds8.2———No line
Carries2.5———No line

Any line

The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).

  • 150+89%
  • 200+63%
  • Over 220.5DraftKings line50%
  • 250+33%
  • 300+14%
  • 350+5%

Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.

Recent games

Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.

0180360116Dec 7vs DEN201Dec 21@ HOU176Dec 28vs NYG215Sep 13@ TEN247Sep 20vs GB321Sep 27@ DET119Oct 4@ CHI182Oct 11vs CLE252Oct 18@ NE287Oct 25vs MIA290Nov 1vs LV165Nov 8@ KC- - Next line 220.5

Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.

GameRolePass ydsCompletionsPass attPass TDsInterceptions
Nov 8 @ KC1 carries165183200
Nov 1 vs LV1 carries290203221
Oct 25 vs MIA2 carries287233031
Oct 18 @ NE2 carries252203011
Oct 11 vs CLE5 carries182173010
Oct 4 @ CHI15 attempts11981510
Sep 27 @ DET2 carries321313730
Sep 20 vs GB5 carries247274110
Sep 13 @ TEN6 carries215192400
Dec 28 vs NYG1 carries176202812
Dec 21 @ HOU23 attempts201162321
Dec 7 vs DEN1 carries116132110
This season, 9 games230.920.330.11.30.3
Average, these 12 games214.319.328.61.30.5

Splits

What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season and last, leaving out neutral sites.

SplitGamesPass ydsCompletionsPass attPass TDsInterceptions
This season9230.920.330.11.30.3
Last season15201.720.129.91.31.1
Last 1010225.420.329.91.30.5
At home12214.721.832.81.51.1
On the road12210.618.727.11.10.6

Against Bills

His last game against his next opponent, newest first, back through the seasons on file. A few games against one team is a small sample, and rosters change between seasons.

GameRolePass ydsCompletionsPass attPass TDsInterceptions
Oct 27 vs BUF5 carries212/ 243.521290/ 1.51