NHL · 2026-27
Washington Capitals
10-6-0 · #11 of 32 by Elo
Elo rating
1526
#11 of 32 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1510
#12 of 32 by recent lines
This season
+5
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
63%
10–6 this season
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Overtime and shootout losses count as losses in these records.
- Goals scored
- 3.5
- 9th of 32
- Goals allowed
- 3.3
- 20th fewest of 32
- Margin
- +0.2
- 13th of 32
- Shot share
- 49.5%
- 15th of 32
- Save percentage
- 88.8%
- 20th of 32
- Last 10
- 7–3
- 2nd of 32
- At home
- 7–4
- 12th of 32
- On the road
- 3–2
- 6th of 32
- Opponent Elo
- 1521
- 3rd toughest of 32
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
45-32-7
Now 10-6-0 · middle 80%: 39–51 wins
Make the playoffs
63%
Division: 6%
About 95 points usually gets them in
Reach the Stanley Cup Final
6%
Win it all
3%
In 255 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 63%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1529 Elo, the 2nd-toughest stretch of the league's 32.
Capitals
10-6-0
Devils
13-6-0
Devils
13-6-0
Capitals
10-6-0
Capitals
10-6-0
Lightning
11-4-2
Sabres
8-6-3
Capitals
10-6-0
Capitals
10-6-0
Bruins
13-4-1
Flyers
5-10-5
Capitals
10-6-0
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
- Jakob Chychrun
- Martin Fehervary
- Alex Tuch
- Cole Hutson
- Tom Wilson
- Dylan Strome
- Timothy Liljegren
- Aliaksei Protas
- Boone Jenner
- Logan Thompson
- Jordan Kyrou
- Ryan Leonard
- Alex Ovechkin
- Matt Roy
- Justin Sourdif
- Anthony Beauvillier
- Pierre-Luc Dubois
- Ilya Protas
- Vincent Desharnais
- Jack St. Ivany
- Charlie Lindgren
- Justin Holl
- Ivan Miroshnichenko
- Dylan McIlrath
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Puck line
- 7–8
- Last 10
- 4–6
- As the favorite
- 4–5
- As the underdog
- 3–3
- Overs–unders
- 9–6
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 6–4
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: W W L W W W L L W W
- W
@ OTT 3–2Picked OTT 54%Nov 10Miss - W
vs FLA 4–3Picked WSH 53%Nov 7Hit - L
vs DAL 5–6Picked WSH 50%Nov 3Miss - L
vs MIN 1–5Picked WSH 50%Nov 1Miss - W
@ NSH 4–3Picked WSH 50%Oct 29Hit - W
vs PHI 5–2Picked WSH 67%Oct 28Hit - W
vs BUF 4–3Picked WSH 52%Oct 24Hit - L
vs LA 2–5Picked WSH 60%Oct 20Miss - W
vs NJ 4–2Picked WSH 52%Oct 17Hit - W
vs MTL 5–4Picked WSH 50%Oct 14Hit
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Vincent Desharnais D
−3 EloInjured ReserveLed team in points 1/10 recent games
ir
Rasmus Sandin D
Injured ReserveSandin (knee) will be with the Capitals for their two-game road trip, Tarik El-Bashir of Monumental Sports Network reports Monday.
Patrick Thomas C
Injured Reserveir-nr