NHL · 2026-27
Buffalo Sabres
8-6-3 · #10 of 32 by Elo
Elo rating
1526
#10 of 32 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1514
#11 of 32 by recent lines
This season
−15
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
71%
12–5 this season
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Overtime and shootout losses count as losses in these records.
- Goals scored
- 2.9
- 21st of 32
- Goals allowed
- 3.4
- 21st fewest of 32
- Margin
- −0.4
- 23rd of 32
- Shot share
- 51.2%
- 11th of 32
- Save percentage
- 88.0%
- 27th of 32
- Last 10
- 5–5
- 14th of 32
- At home
- 4–5
- 23rd of 32
- On the road
- 4–4
- 11th of 32
- Opponent Elo
- 1499
- 17th toughest of 32
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
43-31-10
Now 8-6-3 · middle 80%: 37–49 wins
Make the playoffs
52%
Division: 7%
About 96 points usually gets them in
Reach the Stanley Cup Final
5%
Win it all
3%
In 260 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 52%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1499 Elo, the 16th-toughest stretch of the league's 32.
Lightning
11-4-2
Sabres
8-6-3
Sabres
8-6-3
Blackhawks
4-13-1
Sabres
8-6-3
Stars
10-5-2
Sabres
8-6-3
Flyers
5-10-5
Sabres
8-6-3
Capitals
10-6-0
Sabres
8-6-3
Panthers
10-7-2
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
- Owen Power
- Mattias Samuelsson
- Zach Benson
- Rasmus Dahlin
- Tage Thompson
- Jack Quinn
- Noah Ostlund
- Olen Zellweger
- Josh Doan
- Josh Norris
- Peyton Krebs
- Ryan McLeod
- Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
- Beck Malenstyn
- Louis Crevier
- Zach Metsa
- Konsta Helenius
- Colten Ellis
- Jiri Kulich
- Tyson Kozak
- Jason Zucker
- Sam Carrick
- Justin Danforth
- Dennis Gilbert
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Puck line
- 8–8
- Last 10
- 6–4
- As the favorite
- 3–5
- As the underdog
- 5–3
- Overs–unders
- 9–7
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 6–4
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: W L L L W W W L W L
- L
vs VGK 1–4Picked VGK 51%Nov 8Hit - W
vs CBJ 5–2Picked BUF 60%Nov 6Hit - L
vs OTT 1–2Picked BUF 54%Nov 4Miss - W
@ LA 3–2Picked BUF 54%Oct 31Hit - W
@ ANA 7–6Picked BUF 54%Oct 29Hit - W
@ SJ 2–0Picked BUF 56%Oct 27Hit - L
@ WSH 3–4Picked WSH 52%Oct 24Hit - L
vs PHI 1–3Picked BUF 61%Oct 21Miss - L
@ MTL 3–4Picked MTL 56%Oct 17Hit - W
@ TOR 5–4Picked TOR 51%Oct 15Miss
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Alex Lyon G
Injured ReserveLyon (shoulder) will travel with the Sabres during the team's upcoming road trip, per Heather Engel of NHL.com.
Konsta Helenius C
OutHelenius (upper body) is week-to-week, according to Matthew Fairburn of The Athletic on Monday.
Justin Danforth RW
Injured ReserveDanforth (upper body) was placed on injured reserve Thursday, per the NHL media site.
Matt Grzelcyk D
Injured ReserveGrzelcyk (lower body) suffered a "flare-up" and could be out for at least "a few days," head coach Lindy Ruff told Rachel Lenzi of The Buffalo News on Tuesday.