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NHL · Vegas Golden Knights

William Karlsson

18 min

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. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.

StatProjLineL10OverParlay
Points0.60.52/10 games over this line40%
Assists0.30.51/10 games over this line25%
Shots on goal1.8———No line

Any line

The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).

  • Over 0.5DraftKings line40%
  • 2+9%

Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.

Recent games

Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.

0111Oct 13@ NSH1Oct 15vs CGY1Oct 17vs PIT0Oct 20vs TB0Oct 22@ STL0Oct 24@ CBJ1Oct 27vs OTT0Oct 30vs NJ0Nov 2@ BOS0Nov 3@ PIT0Nov 5@ DET0Nov 8@ BUF- - Next line 0.5

Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.

GameRolePointsGoalsAssistsShots on goalBlocks
Nov 8 @ BUF16 min0/ 0.500/ 0.55/ 1.52
Nov 5 @ DET19 min0/ 0.500/ 0.50/ 1.51
Nov 3 @ PIT18 min0/ 0.500/ 0.52/ 1.50
Nov 2 @ BOS19 min0/ 0.500/ 0.51/ 1.50
Oct 30 vs NJ17 min0/ 0.500/ 0.51/ 1.50
Oct 27 vs OTT20 min1/ 0.510/ 0.51/ 1.53
Oct 24 @ CBJ17 min0/ 0.500/ 0.51/ 1.53
Oct 22 @ STL17 min0/ 0.500/ 0.51/ 1.50
Oct 20 vs TB16 min0/ 0.500/ 0.53/ 1.50
Oct 17 vs PIT14 min1/ 0.501/ 0.51/ 2.51
Oct 15 vs CGY17 min1/ 0.501/ 0.51/ 1.51
Oct 13 @ NSH15 min1/ 0.510/ 0.52/ 1.51
Average, these 12 games0.30.20.21.61.0

Against the line in these games: Points over 4 of 12 · Assists over 2 of 12 · Shots on goal over 4 of 12. A handful of games says little: books move the line to his recent form, which is why streaks like these rarely carry on.

Splits

What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season, leaving out neutral sites.

SplitGamesPointsGoalsAssistsShots on goalBlocks
This season190.30.20.21.70.8
Last season290.60.20.31.90.9
Last 10100.20.10.11.61.0
At home90.40.10.31.60.7
On the road100.20.20.01.80.9