NFL · 2026
Denver Broncos
7-2 · #3 of 32 by Elo
Elo rating
1656
#3 of 32 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1580
#8 of 32 by recent lines
This season
+44
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
78%
7–2 this season
Offense
+0.4 pts
#15 of 32 · scored a game above average
Defense
+1.8 pts
#5 of 32 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.
- Points scored
- 22.0
- 20th of 32
- Points allowed
- 20.7
- 10th fewest of 32
- Margin
- +1.3
- 15th of 32
- Yards per play
- 4.79
- 27th of 32
- Yards allowed per play
- 5.17
- 11th of 32
- At home
- 4–0
- 1st of 32
- On the road
- 3–2
- 10th of 32
- Opponent Elo
- 1530
- 6th toughest of 32
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
13-4
Now 7-2 · middle 80%: 11–14 wins
Make the playoffs
99%
Division: 80% · Top seed: 22%
About 10 wins usually gets them in
Reach the Super Bowl
19%
Win it all
10%
In 997 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 99%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 2 opponents average 1473 Elo, the 13th-easiest stretch of the league's 32.
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 7–2
- Last 10
- 7–2
- As the favorite
- 5–0
- As the underdog
- 2–2
- Overs–unders
- 4–5
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 4–5
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: L L W W L W W W W W
- W
@ CAR 26–21Picked DEN 58%Nov 8Hit - W
vs KC 28–24Picked KC 51%Nov 1Miss - W
@ ARI 30–16Picked DEN 68%Oct 25Hit - W
vs SEA 17–14Picked SEA 58%Oct 15Miss - W
@ LAC 23–17Picked DEN 61%Oct 11Hit - L
@ SF 14–24Picked SF 60%Oct 4Hit - W
vs LAR 30–26Picked DEN 52%Sep 27Hit - W
vs JAX 20–13Picked DEN 56%Sep 20Hit - L@ KC 10–31Picked KC 53%Sep 14Hit
- L
vs NE 7–10Picked NE 64%Jan 25Hit
Injury report
Current ESPN report.
Adam Trautman TE
ActiveTrautman caught two of three passes for 15 yards during the Broncos' 26-21 win over the Panthers on Sunday.
Marvin Mims Jr. WR
ActiveMims caught one of two targets for zero yards, added a five-yard carry and returned three punts for 22 yards during the Broncos' 26-21 win over the Panthers on Sunday.
Troy Franklin WR
ActiveFranklin brought in three of four targets for 31 yards during the Broncos' 26-21 win over the Panthers on Sunday.
Daiyan Henley LB
ActiveThe Broncos acquired Henley from the Chargers on Tuesday in exchange for a 2027 fourth-round pick and a 2028 fifth-round pick, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
Evan Engram TE
ActiveEngram caught four of five targets for 33 yards in Sunday's 26-21 win over the Panthers.
Wil Lutz PK
ActiveLutz went 2-for-2 on both his field-goal attempts and extra-point tries during Denver's win over Carolina on Sunday.
Brandon Jones S
Outout
Talanoa Hufanga S
Outout
Lil'Jordan Humphrey WR
ActiveDallen Bentley TE
ActiveSam Ehlinger QB
ActiveKris Abrams-Draine CB
Outout
Kage Casey OT
ActiveJ.K. Dobbins RB
ActiveDobbins rushed four times for 18 yards and caught his only target for four yards during Sunday's 26-21 win over Carolina.
Pat Bryant WR
ActiveBryant caught four of five targets for 56 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 26-21 win over Carolina.
Courtland Sutton WR
ActiveSutton caught five of nine targets for 45 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 26-21 win over the Panthers.
Jonah Coleman RB
ActiveColeman carried the ball 17 times for 57 yards and a touchdown and caught all four of his targets for 31 yards in Sunday's 26-21 win over the Panthers.
Bo Nix QB
ActiveNix completed 25 of 37 passes for 237 yards and two touchdowns with one interception in Sunday's 26-21 win over the Panthers. He added two rushing yards on five carries.
Jaylen Waddle WR
QuestionableWaddle (concussion) has been ruled out for the remainder of Sunday's game against the Panthers, Parker Gabriel of The Denver Post reports.
Riley Moss CB
QuestionableMoss (concussion) has been ruled out for the remainder of Sunday's game against the Panthers, Parker Gabriel of The Denver Post reports.