NFL · 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3-6 · #17 of 32 by Elo
Elo rating
1511
#17 of 32 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1483
#18 of 32 by recent lines
This season
+54
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
67%
6–3 this season
Offense
+0.3 pts
#16 of 32 · scored a game above average
Defense
+0.4 pts
#12 of 32 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.
- Points scored
- 22.4
- 18th of 32
- Points allowed
- 19.8
- 7th fewest of 32
- Margin
- +2.7
- 13th of 32
- Yards per play
- 4.91
- 25th of 32
- Yards allowed per play
- 5.02
- 8th of 32
- At home
- 1–4
- 26th of 32
- On the road
- 2–2
- 14th of 32
- Opponent Elo
- 1522
- 9th toughest of 32
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
7-10
Now 3-6 · middle 80%: 5–9 wins
Make the playoffs
37%
Division: 37% · Top seed: <1%
About 8 wins usually gets them in
Reach the Super Bowl
2%
Win it all
1%
In 76 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 37%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 2 opponents average 1500 Elo, the 14th-toughest stretch of the league's 32.
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 4–5
- Last 10
- 4–5
- As the favorite
- 1–2
- As the underdog
- 3–3
- Overs–unders
- 5–4
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 5–4
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: W L L L L W L W W L
- L
@ CHI 24–27Picked CHI 70%Nov 8Hit - W
vs ATL 16–0Picked TB 55%Nov 1Hit - W
@ CAR 43–13Picked CAR 59%Oct 25Miss - L
vs PIT 19–26Picked PIT 58%Oct 18Hit - W
@ DAL 24–16Picked DAL 80%Oct 8Miss - L
vs GB 14–17Picked GB 59%Oct 4Hit - L
vs MIN 16–23Picked MIN 52%Sep 27Hit - L
vs CLE 19–23Picked TB 76%Sep 20Miss - L
@ CIN 27–33Picked CIN 63%Sep 13Hit - Wvs CAR 16–14Picked TB 58%Jan 3Hit
Injury report
Current ESPN report.
Ted Hurst III WR
ActiveHurst failed to haul in his lone target during the Buccaneers' 27-24 loss to the Bears on Sunday.
Tez Johnson WR
ActiveJohnson caught two passes for 76 yards on five targets in Sunday night's 27-24 loss to the Bears.
Sean Tucker RB
ActiveTucker didn't log any offensive snaps in a loss to the Bears on Sunday. He returned four kickoffs for 92 yards.
Chase McLaughlin PK
ActiveMcLaughlin converted all three of his field-goal attempts and both of his extra-point tries during Tampa Bay's loss to the Bears on Sunday.
Cade Otton TE
ActiveOtton caught four of eight targets for 25 yards in Sunday night's 27-24 loss to the Bears.
Yaya Diaby LB
Outout
Ayden Garnes CB
ActiveTrevor Keegan G
ActiveBilly Schrauth G
ActiveDeMonte Capehart DT
ActiveBucky Irving RB
ActiveHead coach Todd Bowles said Monday that the Buccaneers "will try and lessen the load" on Irving following their Week 10 bye, Rick Stroud of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Jalen McMillan WR
Injured ReserveHead coach Todd Bowles suggested Monday that McMillan (knee) isn't likely to immediately return to action following the Buccaneers' Week 10 bye, Rick Stroud of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Chris Godwin Jr. WR
ActiveGodwin caught two of three targets for 16 yards and added a 12-yard rush during Sunday night's 27-24 loss to the Bears.
Kenny Gainwell RB
ActiveGainwell rushed five times for 16 yards and caught all three of his targets for 60 yards in Sunday's 27-24 loss to the Bears.
Baker Mayfield QB
ActiveMayfield completed 18 of 32 passes for 243 yards, no touchdowns and two interceptions in Sunday's 27-24 loss to the Bears. He also rushed once for no gain and ran in a two-point conversion.
Emeka Egbuka WR
ActiveEgbuka (foot) caught three of five targets for 38 yards and added a one-yard run in Sunday's 27-24 loss to the Bears.
Antoine Winfield Jr. S
QuestionableWinfield (ankle) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday night's contest against the Bears.
Tristan Wirfs OT
ActiveWirfs (toe) does not have any injury designation ahead of Sunday's game against the Bears.
Tykee Smith S
ActiveSmith (ankle) does not carry an official injury designation ahead of Sunday's game against the Bears.
Josiah Trotter LB
ActiveTrotter recorded six total tackles (two solo) during Sunday's 16-0 victory over Atlanta.