MLB · 2026

San Diego Padres

91-71 · #4 of 30 by Elo

Matchup

Elo rating

1541

#4 of 30 · 1500 is average

Market rating

1523

#10 of 30 by recent lines

This season

+16

Elo change since opening night

Forecasts on their games

58%

97–71 this season

Offense

+0.3 runs

#4 of 30 · scored a game above average

Defense

+0.3 runs

#9 of 30 · allowed a game below average

By the numbers

This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Home and road leave out their 2 neutral-site games.

Runs scored: 4.5; 16th of 30
Runs allowed: 4.2; 9th fewest of 30
Margin: +0.3; 10th of 30
Last 10: 8–2; 1st of 30
At home: 51–30; 4th of 30
On the road: 39–40; 13th of 30
Opponent Elo: 1497; 20th toughest of 30

Season outlook

The 2026 season is over: the Milwaukee Brewers won the World Series. Projections for next season start once its schedule is out.

Upcoming

No games scheduled in the next 4 days.

Rating history

Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.

Padres

Against the line

This season, against each game's closing spread and total.

Run line: 88–80
Last 10: 7–3
As the favorite: 35–54
As the underdog: 53–26
Overs–unders: 76–85–7
Overs–unders, last 10: 4–5–1

Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.

Recent results

Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.

Injury report

Current ESPN report.

Luis Gutierrez SP
Out
Gutierrez (undisclosed) was selected to the major-league roster Monday.
Bryan Hoeing RP
Out
no