Elo rating
1529
#7 of 30 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1525
#7 of 30 by recent lines
This season
+6
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
54%
88–76 this season
Offense
−0.2 runs
#25 of 30 · scored a game above average
Defense
+0.5 runs
#5 of 30 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Home and road leave out their neutral-site game.
- Runs scored
- 4.3
- 23rd of 30
- Runs allowed
- 3.8
- 3rd fewest of 30
- Margin
- +0.5
- 7th of 30
- Last 10
- 5–5
- 12th of 30
- At home
- 41–39
- 18th of 30
- On the road
- 46–35
- 4th of 30
- Opponent Elo
- 1501
- 12th toughest of 30
Season outlook
The 2026 season is over: the Milwaukee Brewers won the World Series. Projections for next season start once its schedule is out.
Upcoming
No games scheduled in the next 4 days.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Run line
- 79–85
- Last 10
- 3–7
- As the favorite
- 44–62
- As the underdog
- 35–23
- Overs–unders
- 74–86–4
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 4–6
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: L L L W L W W L L L
- L
@ NYY 2–9Picked NYY 55%Sep 30Hit - L@ NYY 0–9Picked NYY 54%Sep 29Hit
- L
vs CHC 2–6Picked CHC 52%Sep 27Hit - Wvs CHC 2–0Picked CHC 52%Sep 25Miss
- Wvs CHC 4–3Picked CHC 53%Sep 25Miss
- L
vs CLE 0–1Picked BOS 54%Sep 24Miss - Wvs CLE 1–0Picked BOS 56%Sep 23Hit
- Lvs CLE 2–3Picked BOS 53%Sep 22Miss
- L
@ TB 1–5Picked TB 58%Sep 20Hit - L@ TB 1–2Picked TB 58%Sep 19Hit
Injury report
Current ESPN report.
Roman Anthony LF
OutAnthony (finger) will be re-evaluated in a couple weeks, at which point he's likely to begin a range-of-motion and strengthening program, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
Triston Casas 1B
OutGeneral manager Craig Breslow noted Monday that Casas (wrist) could see at-bats in a winter league, Rob Bradford of WEEI.com reports.
Romy Gonzalez DH
OutRed Sox manager Chad Tracy said Tuesday that Gonzalez is still recovering from a hyperextended elbow injury suffered at Triple-A Worcester but is "very much in play" for the ALDS roster if Boston advances, Tim Healey of The Boston Globe reports.
Eli White CF
OutThe Red Sox transferred White (foot) to the 60-day injured list Sunday.
Justin Slaten RP
OutThe Red Sox transferred Slaten (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Tuesday, Gabrielle Starr of the Boston Herald reports.
Kutter Crawford SP
OutCrawford (forearm) is expected to remain on the injured list for the rest of the season, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
Garrett Whitlock RP
OutThe Red Sox exercised Whitlock's (leg) $8.25 million club option for 2027 on Sunday, Ari Alexander of 7 News Boston reports.
Caleb Durbin 3B
OutThe Red Sox announced Thursday that Durbin (finger) underwent a successful partial excision of the fifth metatarsal base with tendon repair on his right foot, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
Mickey Gasper DH
OutGasper is expected to be sidelined 4-to-6 month after undergoing distal right biceps tendon surgery Friday, Tim Healey of The Boston Globe reports.