Player props
Every prop, one board
Every player prop posted for the next day or so, next to our projection. The over chance follows the book's own number with its margin removed, which was the more accurate one in every league; lines where our model disagrees by 10+ points are tagged with how such lines have done. Not betting advice.
Lines posted
675
10 games · DraftKings
Model disagrees
148
by 10+ points against the price
Past disagreements
−3.4%
a bet · 23,690 graded lines, 51% won
Logged before games
922–793
+0.6% a bet · 173 pending
Every logged pick, graded: download the NBA picks (CSV).
| Player | Stat | Proj | L5 | Line | L10 | Over | Model | Parlay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson TatumBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Reb+Ast | 35.4▼ 5.1 below the line | 38.0 | 40.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 48%model: under | 31% | |
| RJ BarrettTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Reb+Ast | 31.9▼ 2.6 below the line | 32.8 | 34.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 49% | 37% | |
| Jayson TatumBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Reb | 29.6▼ 4.9 below the line | 31.0 | 34.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 47%model: under | 30% | |
| RJ BarrettTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Reb | 28.1▼ 2.4 below the line | 29.4 | 30.5up from 29.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 48% | 37% | |
| Jayson TatumBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Ast | 28.0▼ 5.5 below the line | 32.4 | 33.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 46%model: under | 27% | |
| Immanuel Quickley60% to playTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Reb+Ast | 26.1▼ 2.4 below the line | 27.2 | 28.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 49% | 37% | |
| RJ BarrettTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Ast | 26.0▼ 2.5 below the line | 26.6 | 28.5up from 27.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 49%model: under | 36% | |
| Paul GeorgeBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Reb+Ast | 24.2▼ 3.3 below the line | 30.2 | 27.5 | 7/10 games over this line | 47%model: under | 33% | |
| Immanuel Quickley60% to playTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Ast | 22.4▼ 2.1 below the line | 23.2 | 24.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 50%model: under | 37% | |
| Jayson TatumBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Points | 22.3▼ 4.2 below the line | 25.4 | 26.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 48%model: under | 29% | |
| RJ BarrettTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Points | 22.2▼ 2.3 below the line | 23.2 | 24.5up from 23.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 47% | 36% | |
| Paul GeorgeBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Reb | 21.1▼ 2.4 below the line | 27.0 | 23.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 49%model: under | 35% | |
| Immanuel Quickley60% to playTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Reb | 20.3▼ 2.2 below the line | 21.0 | 22.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 47% | 36% | |
| Paul GeorgeBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Ast | 20.0▼ 1.5 below the line | 25.8 | 21.5 | 7/10 games over this line | 51%model: under | 38% | |
| Collin Murray-Boyles60% to playTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Reb+Ast | 19.4▼ 0.1 below the line | 20.0 | 19.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 51% | 44% | |
| Jakob PoeltlTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Reb+Ast | 19.0▼ 2.5 below the line | 20.8 | 21.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 49%model: under | 34% | |
| Derrick WhiteBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Reb+Ast | 18.0▼ 3.5 below the line | 20.4 | 21.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 48%model: under | 30% | |
| Ja'Kobe WalterTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Reb+Ast | 17.5▼ 2.0 below the line | 16.4 | 19.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 46% | 35% | |
| Collin Murray-Boyles60% to playTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Reb | 17.4▼ 0.1 below the line | 18.8 | 17.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 51% | 44% | |
| Jakob PoeltlTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Reb | 17.2▼ 2.3 below the line | 19.2 | 19.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 48%model: under | 34% | |
| Paul GeorgeBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Points | 16.8▼ 1.7 below the line | 22.6 | 18.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 48% | 37% | |
| Immanuel Quickley60% to playTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Points | 16.6▼ 1.9 below the line | 17.0 | 18.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 48%model: under | 36% | |
| Ja'Kobe WalterTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Reb | 15.5▼ 1.0 below the line | 14.2 | 16.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 51% | 39% | |
| Derrick WhiteBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Ast | 15.1▼ 3.4 below the line | 17.6 | 18.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 46%model: under | 29% | |
| Derrick WhiteBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Reb | 14.1▼ 2.4 below the line | 15.4 | 16.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 50%model: under | 33% | |
| Collin Murray-Boyles60% to playTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Ast | 13.7▲ 0.2 above the line | 15.0 | 13.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 51% | 45% | |
| Ja'Kobe WalterTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Ast | 13.6▼ 0.9 below the line | 11.8 | 14.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 50% | 39% | |
| Jayson TatumBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Reb+Ast | 13.1▼ 0.4 below the line | 12.6 | 13.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 50% | 43% | |
| Jakob PoeltlTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Pts+Ast | 12.4▼ 1.1 below the line | 13.4 | 13.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 49% | 37% | |
| Collin Murray-Boyles60% to playTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Points | 11.7▲ 0.2 above the line | 13.8 | 11.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 51% | 45% | |
| Ja'Kobe WalterTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Points | 11.6▼ 0.9 below the line | 9.6 | 12.5down from 13.5 | 2/10 games over this line | 49% | 38% | |
| Derrick WhiteBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Points | 11.1▼ 2.4 below the line | 12.6 | 13.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 47%model: under | 31% | |
| Jakob PoeltlTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Points | 10.5▼ 1.0 below the line | 11.8 | 11.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 48% | 37% | |
| RJ BarrettTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Reb+Ast | 9.7▲ 0.2 above the line | 9.6 | 9.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 54% | 48% | |
| Immanuel Quickley60% to playTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Reb+Ast | 9.5at the line | 10.2 | 9.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 53% | 46% | |
| Jakob PoeltlTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Reb+Ast | 8.5▼ 2.0 below the line | 9.0 | 10.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 44%model: under | 28% | |
| Collin Murray-Boyles60% to playTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Reb+Ast | 7.6▲ 0.1 above the line | 6.2 | 7.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 53% | 47% | |
| Paul GeorgeBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Reb+Ast | 7.4▼ 1.1 below the line | 7.6 | 8.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 47%model: under | 34% | |
| Jayson TatumBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Rebounds | 7.4▼ 0.1 below the line | 5.6 | 7.5 | 2/10 games over this line | 45% | 44% | |
| Derrick WhiteBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Reb+Ast | 6.9▼ 0.6 below the line | 7.8 | 7.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 53%model: under | 39% | |
| Jakob PoeltlTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Rebounds | 6.7▼ 0.8 below the line | 7.4 | 7.5down from 8.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 52%model: under | 36% | |
| Neemias QuetaBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Rebounds | 6.7▲ 0.2 above the line | 7.2 | 6.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 53% | 48% | |
| RJ BarrettTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Rebounds | 5.9▲ 0.4 above the line | 6.2 | 5.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 54% | 51% | |
| Ja'Kobe WalterTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Reb+Ast | 5.8▼ 0.7 below the line | 6.8 | 6.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 45% | 37% | |
| Immanuel Quickley60% to playTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Assists | 5.8▼ 0.7 below the line | 6.2 | 6.5up from 5.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 42% | 37% | |
| Jayson TatumBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Assists | 5.8▼ 0.7 below the line | 7.0 | 6.5 | 7/10 games over this line | 45% | 36% | |
| Collin Murray-Boyles60% to playTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Rebounds | 5.6▲ 0.1 above the line | 5.0 | 5.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 54% | 47% | |
| Paul GeorgeBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Rebounds | 4.2▼ 0.3 below the line | 4.4 | 4.5 | 8/10 games over this line | 55%model: under | 41% | |
| Derrick WhiteBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Assists | 3.9▼ 0.6 below the line | 5.0 | 4.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 48%model: under | 35% | |
| Ja'Kobe WalterTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Rebounds | 3.9▼ 0.6 below the line | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 41% | 35% | |
| RJ BarrettTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Assists | 3.8▲ 0.3 above the line | 3.4 | 3.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 57% | 50% | |
| Immanuel Quickley60% to playTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Rebounds | 3.7▲ 0.2 above the line | 4.0 | 3.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 52% | 47% | |
| Paul GeorgeBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Assists | 3.2▼ 0.3 below the line | 3.2 | 3.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 44% | 38% | |
| Derrick WhiteBOS · BOS @ TOR · | Rebounds | 3.0▼ 0.5 below the line | 2.8 | 3.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 43% | 35% | |
| Collin Murray-Boyles60% to playTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Assists | 2.0▲ 0.5 above the line | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 59% | 56% | |
| Ja'Kobe WalterTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Assists | 2.0▼ 0.5 below the line | 2.2 | 2.5up from 1.5 | 2/10 games over this line | 38% | 31% | |
| Jakob PoeltlTOR · BOS @ TOR · | Assists | 1.8▲ 0.3 above the line | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 60% | 52% | |
| Karl-Anthony TownsNY · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb+Ast | 34.1▼ 2.4 below the line | 36.8 | 36.5up from 35.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 48% | 38% | |
| Jalen BrunsonNY · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb+Ast | 32.7▼ 3.8 below the line | 35.2 | 36.5up from 35.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 48%model: under | 34% | |
| Karl-Anthony TownsNY · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb | 30.5▼ 2.0 below the line | 33.8 | 32.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 49% | 39% | |
| Jalen BrunsonNY · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Ast | 29.7▼ 2.8 below the line | 31.4 | 32.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 49%model: under | 36% | |
| Donovan MitchellCLE · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb+Ast | 29.1▼ 3.4 below the line | 33.8 | 32.5down from 33.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 50%model: under | 34% | |
| Jalen BrunsonNY · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb | 27.1▼ 2.4 below the line | 29.8 | 29.5up from 28.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 47% | 37% | |
| Evan MobleyCLE · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb+Ast | 25.4▼ 2.1 below the line | 25.6 | 27.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 49% | 38% | |
| Donovan MitchellCLE · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb | 25.2▼ 3.3 below the line | 27.2 | 28.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 46%model: under | 33% | |
| Donovan MitchellCLE · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Ast | 24.8▼ 3.7 below the line | 29.6 | 28.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 48%model: under | 32% | |
| James HardenCLE · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb+Ast | 24.3▼ 3.2 below the line | 23.4 | 27.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 48%model: under | 33% | |
| Jalen BrunsonNY · CLE @ NY · | Points | 24.1▼ 1.4 below the line | 26.0 | 25.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 49% | 40% | |
| OG AnunobyNY · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb+Ast | 23.9▼ 1.6 below the line | 22.4 | 25.5up from 24.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 47% | 39% | |
| Evan MobleyCLE · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb | 22.4▼ 2.1 below the line | 21.8 | 24.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 47% | 37% | |
| Karl-Anthony TownsNY · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Ast | 22.1▼ 1.4 below the line | 23.0 | 23.5 | 7/10 games over this line | 48% | 39% | |
| OG AnunobyNY · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb | 22.0▼ 0.5 below the line | 20.2 | 22.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 50% | 43% | |
| Donovan MitchellCLE · CLE @ NY · | Points | 20.8▼ 2.7 below the line | 23.0 | 23.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 49%model: under | 34% | |
| James HardenCLE · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Ast | 20.0▼ 2.5 below the line | 18.6 | 22.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 49%model: under | 35% | |
| James HardenCLE · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb | 19.2▼ 2.3 below the line | 18.4 | 21.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 46% | 35% | |
| OG AnunobyNY · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Ast | 18.7▼ 0.8 below the line | 18.0 | 19.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 49% | 41% | |
| Karl-Anthony TownsNY · CLE @ NY · | Points | 18.5▼ 1.0 below the line | 20.0 | 19.5down from 20.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 51% | 40% | |
| Evan MobleyCLE · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Ast | 17.7▼ 1.8 below the line | 18.8 | 19.5up from 18.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 46% | 36% | |
| Peyton WatsonCLE · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb+Ast | 17.2▼ 1.3 below the line | 17.0 | 18.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 50% | 38% | |
| OG AnunobyNY · CLE @ NY · | Points | 16.8▲ 0.3 above the line | 15.8 | 16.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 52% | 46% | |
| Jarrett AllenCLE · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb | 16.2▼ 3.3 below the line | 19.6 | 19.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 49%model: under | 30% | |
| Karl-Anthony TownsNY · CLE @ NY · | Reb+Ast | 15.6▲ 0.1 above the line | 16.8 | 15.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 51% | 48% | |
| Peyton WatsonCLE · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb | 15.3▼ 1.2 below the line | 14.0 | 16.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 49% | 38% | |
| James HardenCLE · CLE @ NY · | Points | 14.9▼ 1.6 below the line | 13.6 | 16.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 48%model: under | 36% | |
| Evan MobleyCLE · CLE @ NY · | Points | 14.7▼ 0.8 below the line | 15.0 | 15.5 | 7/10 games over this line | 49% | 40% | |
| Mikal BridgesNY · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb+Ast | 13.7▼ 1.8 below the line | 14.2 | 15.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 48%model: under | 35% | |
| Peyton WatsonCLE · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Ast | 13.1▼ 1.4 below the line | 12.4 | 14.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 48% | 36% | |
| Karl-Anthony TownsNY · CLE @ NY · | Rebounds | 12.0▼ 0.5 below the line | 13.8 | 12.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 48% | 42% | |
| Mikal BridgesNY · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Reb | 11.4▼ 1.1 below the line | 12.0 | 12.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 48% | 37% | |
| Peyton WatsonCLE · CLE @ NY · | Points | 11.2▼ 1.3 below the line | 9.4 | 12.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 47% | 36% | |
| Meleek ThomasCLE · CLE @ NY · | Points | 11.1▲ 2.6 above the line | 13.0 | 8.5 | 8/8 games over this line | 51% | 59% | |
| Mikal BridgesNY · CLE @ NY · | Pts+Ast | 11.0▼ 1.5 below the line | 9.8 | 12.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 48%model: under | 35% | |
| Evan MobleyCLE · CLE @ NY · | Reb+Ast | 10.8▼ 0.7 below the line | 10.6 | 11.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 51% | 40% | |
| Jarrett AllenCLE · CLE @ NY · | Points | 10.0▼ 1.5 below the line | 13.0 | 11.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 51%model: under | 34% | |
| Landry ShametNY · CLE @ NY · | Points | 9.8▲ 1.3 above the line | 9.6 | 8.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 50% | 51% | |
| James HardenCLE · CLE @ NY · | Reb+Ast | 9.3▼ 1.2 below the line | 9.8 | 10.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 49%model: under | 35% | |
| Mikal BridgesNY · CLE @ NY · | Points | 8.8▼ 0.7 below the line | 7.6 | 9.5 | 2/10 games over this line | 49% | 37% | |
| Jalen BrunsonNY · CLE @ NY · | Reb+Ast | 8.6▼ 1.9 below the line | 9.2 | 10.5 | 2/10 games over this line | 45%model: under | 29% | |
| Donovan MitchellCLE · CLE @ NY · | Reb+Ast | 8.3▼ 1.2 below the line | 10.8 | 9.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 44% | 34% | |
| Evan MobleyCLE · CLE @ NY · | Rebounds | 7.8▼ 0.7 below the line | 6.8 | 8.5up from 7.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 46% | 38% | |
| Miles McBrideNY · CLE @ NY · | Points | 7.1▲ 0.6 above the line | 7.2 | 6.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 48% | 46% | |
| OG AnunobyNY · CLE @ NY · | Reb+Ast | 7.1▼ 0.4 below the line | 6.6 | 7.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 52% | 40% | |
| Jarrett AllenCLE · CLE @ NY · | Rebounds | 6.2▼ 1.3 below the line | 6.6 | 7.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 48%model: under | 31% | |
| Peyton WatsonCLE · CLE @ NY · | Reb+Ast | 6.0▼ 0.5 below the line | 7.6 | 6.5 | 7/10 games over this line | 45% | 39% | |
| Jalen BrunsonNY · CLE @ NY · | Assists | 5.6▼ 0.9 below the line | 5.4 | 6.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 51%model: under | 34% | |
| OG AnunobyNY · CLE @ NY · | Rebounds | 5.2▼ 0.3 below the line | 4.4 | 5.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 47% | 40% | |
| James HardenCLE · CLE @ NY · | Assists | 5.1▼ 0.4 below the line | 5.0 | 5.5down from 6.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 55%model: under | 40% | |
| Mikal BridgesNY · CLE @ NY · | Reb+Ast | 4.9▼ 0.6 below the line | 6.6 | 5.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 51%model: under | 37% | |
| Donovan MitchellCLE · CLE @ NY · | Rebounds | 4.4▼ 0.1 below the line | 4.2 | 4.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 45% | 42% | |
| James HardenCLE · CLE @ NY · | Rebounds | 4.3▼ 0.2 below the line | 4.8 | 4.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 48% | 41% | |
| Peyton WatsonCLE · CLE @ NY · | Rebounds | 4.1▼ 0.4 below the line | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 44% | 39% | |
| Donovan MitchellCLE · CLE @ NY · | Assists | 3.9▼ 0.6 below the line | 6.6 | 4.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 51%model: under | 36% | |
| Karl-Anthony TownsNY · CLE @ NY · | Assists | 3.6▲ 0.1 above the line | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 42% | 47% | |
| Jalen BrunsonNY · CLE @ NY · | Rebounds | 3.0▼ 0.5 below the line | 3.8 | 3.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 44% | 35% | |
| Evan MobleyCLE · CLE @ NY · | Assists | 3.0▼ 0.5 below the line | 3.8 | 3.5up from 2.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 45% | 35% | |
| Mikal BridgesNY · CLE @ NY · | Rebounds | 2.7▲ 0.2 above the line | 4.4 | 2.5 | 7/10 games over this line | 55% | 47% | |
| Mikal BridgesNY · CLE @ NY · | Assists | 2.2▼ 0.3 below the line | 2.2 | 2.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 54%model: under | 38% | |
| OG AnunobyNY · CLE @ NY · | Assists | 1.9▼ 0.6 below the line | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2/10 games over this line | 41% | 30% | |
| Peyton WatsonCLE · CLE @ NY · | Assists | 1.9▲ 0.4 above the line | 3.0 | 1.5 | 7/10 games over this line | 57% | 53% | |
| Evan MobleyCLE · CLE @ NY · | Blocks | 1.3▼ 0.2 below the line | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 44% | 37% |
About L10. It counts the games he went over this line in his last ten, the number prop apps lead with, and it describes the past. On 6,961 past NBA lines where a player had cleared it in 8 or more of his last 10, 52.8% went over next time; the book had them at 53.2%. Books move the line to recent form, so the over chance is the number to go by.
Do these chances hold up?
Every graded NBA main line since the tuning season, at the chance this board would have shown for the likelier side: when it said 60%, did that side come in about 60% of the time? 118,279 lines, pushes left out.
Show as table
| Confidence | Lines | Stated | Came in |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50%–55% | 82,658 | 51.8% | 52.1% |
| 55%–60% | 21,880 | 57.1% | 57.7% |
| 60%–65% | 8,860 | 62.2% | 62.9% |
| 65%–70% | 2,584 | 66.6% | 69.2% |
| 70%–75% | 786 | 72.6% | 72.0% |
| 75%–80% | 766 | 77.4% | 80.4% |
| 80%–85% | 552 | 82.1% | 83.9% |
| 85%–90% | 161 | 86.5% | 91.9% |
| 90%–95% | 29 | 91.7% | 96.6% |
| 95%–100% | 3 | 96.2% | 100.0% |
Latest logged picks
The model's NBA disagreements, logged before each game at the line and price on offer then, and graded after. A player who doesn't play voids the pick, as the books settle it.
- WonShai Gilgeous-Alexander under 36.5 points + reboundsDraftKings -107 · model 70% · Nov 10Had 34
- WonShai Gilgeous-Alexander under 32.5 pointsDraftKings -112 · model 70% · Nov 10Had 26
- WonIsaiah Hartenstein under 14.5 rebounds + assistsDraftKings -112 · model 69% · Nov 10Had 14
- WonToumani Camara under 17.5 points + reboundsDraftKings -109 · model 68% · Nov 10Had 15
- WonAjay Mitchell under 19.5 pointsDraftKings -121 · model 71% · Nov 10Had 14
- WonToumani Camara under 13.5 pointsDraftKings -123 · model 71% · Nov 10Had 12
- LostSidy Cissoko under 5.5 pointsDraftKings +102 · model 65% · Nov 10Had 17
- LostToumani Camara under 14.5 points + assistsDraftKings -109 · model 68% · Nov 10Had 15
- LostSidy Cissoko under 11.5 points + rebounds + assistsDraftKings -120 · model 70% · Nov 10Had 23
- WonToumani Camara under 19.5 points + rebounds + assistsDraftKings -119 · model 70% · Nov 10Had 18
- WonAjay Mitchell under 23.5 points + assistsDraftKings -122 · model 70% · Nov 10Had 17
- WonAjay Mitchell under 23.5 points + reboundsDraftKings -124 · model 70% · Nov 10Had 17
- WonIsaiah Hartenstein under 23.5 points + rebounds + assistsDraftKings -105 · model 66% · Nov 10Had 21
- WonAjay Mitchell under 27.5 points + rebounds + assistsDraftKings -121 · model 70% · Nov 10Had 20
- LostSidy Cissoko under 8.5 points + assistsDraftKings -135 · model 72% · Nov 10Had 20
- LostSidy Cissoko under 9.5 points + reboundsDraftKings -125 · model 70% · Nov 10Had 20
- WonShai Gilgeous-Alexander under 42.5 points + rebounds + assistsDraftKings -118 · model 68% · Nov 10Had 37
- WonShai Gilgeous-Alexander under 37.5 points + assistsDraftKings -106 · model 65% · Nov 10Had 29
- WonBennett Stirtz over 6.5 pointsDraftKings -105 · model 64% · Nov 10Had 13
- WonIsaiah Hartenstein under 19.5 points + reboundsDraftKings -107 · model 65% · Nov 10Had 16
- WonDeni Avdija under 30.5 points + reboundsDraftKings -111 · model 65% · Nov 10Had 30
- LostDeni Avdija under 37.5 points + rebounds + assistsDraftKings -122 · model 68% · Nov 10Had 38
- LostDeni Avdija under 13.5 rebounds + assistsDraftKings -113 · model 66% · Nov 10Had 14
- LostShai Gilgeous-Alexander under 3.5 reboundsDraftKings +125 · model 56% · Nov 10Had 8
- WonDeni Avdija under 7.5 reboundsDraftKings -132 · model 69% · Nov 10Had 6
- LostAday Mara over 1.5 blocksDraftKings +123 · model 56% · Nov 10Had 1
- WonIsaiah Hartenstein under 13.5 points + assistsDraftKings -131 · model 68% · Nov 10Had 12
- LostDamian Lillard under 19.5 pointsDraftKings -113 · model 64% · Nov 10Had 25
- LostSidy Cissoko under 5.5 rebounds + assistsDraftKings -147 · model 70% · Nov 10Had 6
- LostIsaiah Hartenstein under 3.5 assistsDraftKings +104 · model 60% · Nov 10Had 5