The chance is the betting market's (ESPN BET), with the bookmaker's cut removed.Miss
Our ratings alone: Justin Gaethje 56%, Paddy Pimblett 44%. They're a weaker guide than the market, so they don't move the number.
Tale of the tape
UFC numbers count fights in the UFC only (from 2001); the pro record is everything, as ESPN lists it today.
| Justin Gaethje | Paddy Pimblett | |
|---|---|---|
| USA | Country | England |
| 28-5-0 | Pro record (all promotions, today) | 24-4-0 |
| 11-5 | UFC record | 8-1 |
| 7 / 4 | UFC wins by stoppage / decision | 6 / 2 |
| 5 / 0 | UFC losses by stoppage / decision | 0 / 1 |
| 1,619 (#2) | Rating (rank in division) | 1,518 (#7) |
Justin Gaethje: last UFC fights
- WRafael FizievDecision
- LMax HollowayR 5
- WDustin PoirierR 2
- WRafael FizievDecision
- LCharles OliveiraR 1
Paddy Pimblett: last UFC fights
- WMichael ChandlerR 3
- WKing GreenR 1
- WTony FergusonDecision
- WJared GordonDecision
- WJordan LeavittR 2

