The chance is the betting market's (ESPN BET), with the bookmaker's cut removed.Hit
Our ratings alone: Umar Nurmagomedov 46%, Mario Bautista 54%. They're a weaker guide than the market, so they don't move the number.
Tale of the tape
UFC numbers count fights in the UFC only (from 2001); the pro record is everything, as ESPN lists it today.
| Umar Nurmagomedov | Mario Bautista | |
|---|---|---|
| Russia | Country | USA |
| 20-2-0 | Pro record (all promotions, today) | 18-3-0 |
| 8-2 | UFC record | 12-3 |
| 3 / 5 | UFC wins by stoppage / decision | 5 / 7 |
| 1 / 1 | UFC losses by stoppage / decision | 2 / 1 |
| 1,499 (#6) | Rating (rank in division) | 1,535 (#5) |
Umar Nurmagomedov: last UFC fights
- LMerab DvalishviliDecision
- WCory SandhagenDecision
- WBekzat AlmakhanDecision
- WRaoni BarcelosR 1
- WNate ManessDecision
Mario Bautista: last UFC fights
- WPatchy MixDecision
- WJosé AldoDecision
- WRicky SimonDecision
- WDa'Mon BlackshearDecision
- WGuido CannettiR 1

