Matchup machine
Any two teams, head to head
Pick a league, two teams and a venue. The number comes from the same ratings behind every forecast before a betting line is posted, with each team at full strength.
Matchup machine
Pick a league, two teams and a venue. The number comes from the same ratings behind every forecast before a betting line is posted, with each team at full strength.
46%
Elo 1656 · market 1580
54%
Elo 1718 · market 1643At Broncos: Bills 54% · projected DEN 23.5 – 24.6 BUF
Both teams at full strength. Real game forecasts also count injuries, rest, travel and starters, and follow the betting line once one is posted.
The 2026 season, regular season, each number with its league rank (the longer the bar, the higher). Home and road: the host's record at home against the visitor's on the road. Opponent Elo: how strong the teams each has played are, 1st the toughest. Adjusted: the scoring model’s ratings a game, which account for who they played. Yards per play counts passes, sacks and runs, with sack yardage taken off.
DEN | Stat |  BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 20th of 3222.0 | Points scored | 32.01st of 32 |
| 10th of 3220.7 | Points allowed | 23.416th of 32 |
| 15th of 32+1.3 | Margin | +8.63rd of 32 |
| 27th of 324.79 | Yards per play | 6.014th of 32 |
| 11th of 325.17 | Yards allowed per play | 5.2213th of 32 |
| 1st of 324–0 | Home vs road | 4–01st of 32 |
| 6th of 321530 | Opponent Elo | 151510th of 32 |
| 3rd of 321656 | Elo rating | 17181st of 32 |
| 15th of 32+0.4 | Offense, adjusted | +4.91st of 32 |
| 5th of 32+1.8 | Defense, adjusted | +0.214th of 32 |