Matchup machine
Any two teams, head to head
Pick a league, two teams and a venue. The number comes from the same ratings behind every forecast before a betting line is posted, with each team at full strength.
Matchup machine
Pick a league, two teams and a venue. The number comes from the same ratings behind every forecast before a betting line is posted, with each team at full strength.
20%
Elo 1436 · market 1394
80%
Elo 1718 · market 1643At Browns: Bills 80% · projected CLE 18.2 – 28.0 BUF
Both teams at full strength. Real game forecasts also count injuries, rest, travel and starters, and follow the betting line once one is posted.
The 2026 season, regular season, each number with its league rank (the longer the bar, the higher). Home and road: the host's record at home against the visitor's on the road. Opponent Elo: how strong the teams each has played are, 1st the toughest. Adjusted: the scoring model’s ratings a game, which account for who they played. Yards per play counts passes, sacks and runs, with sack yardage taken off.
CLE | Stat |  BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 29th of 3217.9 | Points scored | 32.01st of 32 |
| 13th of 3221.8 | Points allowed | 23.416th of 32 |
| 23rd of 32−3.9 | Margin | +8.63rd of 32 |
| 23rd of 325.00 | Yards per play | 6.014th of 32 |
| 12th of 325.22 | Yards allowed per play | 5.2213th of 32 |
| 1st of 323–0 | Home vs road | 4–01st of 32 |
| 27th of 321472 | Opponent Elo | 151510th of 32 |
| 20th of 321436 | Elo rating | 17181st of 32 |
| 32nd of 32−3.3 | Offense, adjusted | +4.91st of 32 |
| 17th of 320.0 | Defense, adjusted | +0.214th of 32 |