Matchup machine
Any two teams, head to head
Pick a league, two teams and a venue. The number comes from the same ratings behind every forecast before a betting line is posted, with each team at full strength.
Matchup machine
Pick a league, two teams and a venue. The number comes from the same ratings behind every forecast before a betting line is posted, with each team at full strength.
43%
Elo 1502 · market 1497
57%
Elo 1595 · market 1560At Pirates: Brewers 57% · projected PIT 3.8 – 4.4 MIL
Both teams at full strength. Real game forecasts also count injuries, rest, travel and starters, and follow the betting line once one is posted.
The 2026 season, regular season, each number with its league rank (the longer the bar, the higher). Home and road: the host's record at home against the visitor's on the road. Opponent Elo: how strong the teams each has played are, 1st the toughest. Adjusted: the scoring model’s ratings a game, which account for who they played.
PIT | Stat |  MIL |
|---|---|---|
| 6th of 304.7 | Runs scored | 5.12nd of 30 |
| 19th of 304.6 | Runs allowed | 3.84th of 30 |
| 11th of 30+0.2 | Margin | +1.31st of 30 |
| 5th of 307–3 | Last 10 | 8–21st of 30 |
| 12th of 3044–37 | Home vs road | 48–332nd of 30 |
| 4th of 301505 | Opponent Elo | 149723rd of 30 |
| 14th of 301502 | Elo rating | 15951st of 30 |
| 17th of 300.0 | Offense, adjusted | +0.62nd of 30 |
| 12th of 30+0.2 | Defense, adjusted | +0.71st of 30 |