Matchup machine
Any two teams, head to head
Pick a league, two teams and a venue. The number comes from the same ratings behind every forecast before a betting line is posted, with each team at full strength.
Matchup machine
Pick a league, two teams and a venue. The number comes from the same ratings behind every forecast before a betting line is posted, with each team at full strength.
51%
Elo 1553 · market 1544
49%
Elo 1599 · market 1566At Lightning: Lightning 51% · projected TB 3.2 – 3.1 CAR
Both teams at full strength. Real game forecasts also count injuries, rest, travel and starters, and follow the betting line once one is posted.
The 2026-27 season, regular season, each number with its league rank (the longer the bar, the higher). Home and road: the host's record at home against the visitor's on the road. Overtime and shootout losses count as losses in these records. Opponent Elo: how strong the teams each has played are, 1st the toughest. Shot share is a team's share of the shots on goal in its games. PDO adds shooting and save percentages: far from 100 tends to even out.
TB | Stat |  CAR |
|---|---|---|
| 6th of 323.7 | Goals scored | 4.11st of 32 |
| 17th of 323.1 | Goals allowed | 2.43rd of 32 |
| 8th of 32+0.6 | Margin | +1.71st of 32 |
| 3rd of 3254.9% | Shot share | 59.7%1st of 32 |
| 26th of 3288.2% | Save percentage | 89.9%9th of 32 |
| 8th of 326–4 | Last 10 | 7–32nd of 32 |
| 1st of 328–0 | Home vs road | 8–33rd of 32 |
| 25th of 321492 | Opponent Elo | 147831st of 32 |
| 3rd of 321553 | Elo rating | 15991st of 32 |