Matchup machine
Any two teams, head to head
Pick a league, two teams and a venue. The number comes from the same ratings behind every forecast before a betting line is posted, with each team at full strength.
Matchup machine
Pick a league, two teams and a venue. The number comes from the same ratings behind every forecast before a betting line is posted, with each team at full strength.
40%
Elo 1475 · market 1477
60%
Elo 1595 · market 1560At Nationals: Brewers 60% · projected WSH 4.3 – 5.2 MIL
Both teams at full strength. Real game forecasts also count injuries, rest, travel and starters, and follow the betting line once one is posted.
The 2026 season, regular season, each number with its league rank (the longer the bar, the higher). Home and road: the host's record at home against the visitor's on the road. Opponent Elo: how strong the teams each has played are, 1st the toughest. Adjusted: the scoring model’s ratings a game, which account for who they played.
WSH | Stat |  MIL |
|---|---|---|
| 3rd of 305.1 | Runs scored | 5.12nd of 30 |
| 27th of 305.0 | Runs allowed | 3.84th of 30 |
| 15th of 300.0 | Margin | +1.31st of 30 |
| 7th of 306–4 | Last 10 | 8–21st of 30 |
| 21st of 3039–42 | Home vs road | 48–332nd of 30 |
| 5th of 301504 | Opponent Elo | 149723rd of 30 |
| 23rd of 301475 | Elo rating | 15951st of 30 |
| 7th of 30+0.1 | Offense, adjusted | +0.62nd of 30 |
| 19th of 30−0.2 | Defense, adjusted | +0.71st of 30 |