Matchup machine
Any two teams, head to head
Pick a league, two teams and a venue. The number comes from the same ratings behind every forecast before a betting line is posted, with each team at full strength.
Matchup machine
Pick a league, two teams and a venue. The number comes from the same ratings behind every forecast before a betting line is posted, with each team at full strength.
29%
Elo 1460 · market 1513
71%
Elo 1670 · market 1699At Heat: Spurs 71% · projected MIA 112.3 – 118.9 SA
Both teams at full strength. Real game forecasts also count injuries, rest, travel and starters, and follow the betting line once one is posted.
The 2026-27 season, regular season, each number with its league rank (the longer the bar, the higher). Home and road: the host's record at home against the visitor's on the road. Opponent Elo: how strong the teams each has played are, 1st the toughest. Adjusted: the scoring model’s ratings a game, which account for who they played. Offense and defense are points per 100 possessions, which sets aside how fast a team plays.
MIA | Stat |  SA |
|---|---|---|
| 11th of 30115.7 | Points scored | 118.74th of 30 |
| 26th of 30120.0 | Points allowed | 107.06th of 30 |
| 19th of 30−4.3 | Margin | +11.71st of 30 |
| 19th of 30110.0 | Offense rating | 116.65th of 30 |
| 24th of 30114.0 | Defense rating | 105.14th of 30 |
| 3rd of 30104.2 | Pace | 101.018th of 30 |
| 14th of 285–5 | Last 10 | 9–11st of 28 |
| 23rd of 301–3 | Home vs road | 5–01st of 30 |
| 18th of 301494 | Opponent Elo | 147025th of 30 |
| 21st of 301460 | Elo rating | 16701st of 30 |
| 3rd of 30+2.5 | Offense, adjusted | +2.92nd of 30 |
| 26th of 30−3.7 | Defense, adjusted | +4.75th of 30 |